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Birth after cesarean

VBAC Candidacy Check

Wondering whether a vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) could be an option for you, or whether a repeat cesarean makes more sense? This weighs the favorable and less-favorable factors ACOG describes and gives you a plain-English candidacy read to take to your OB — not a percentage, and not a decision. Everything runs on your device; nothing is sent or saved.

This is a factor-based candidacy read, not a percentage and not a decision. A personal chance-of-success number comes from the MFMU calculator your clinician runs — this helps you walk in ready to talk it through.

VBAC candidacy check

Answers stay on your device: nothing is sent, saved, or shared. The incision type comes from your operative report.

1. Type of your previous uterine incision

The scar on the uterus itself — not the skin. It's on your operative report, and it's the single most important factor.

2. Prior uterine rupture or upper-uterine surgery

A past uterine rupture, or surgery that cut through the full thickness of the upper uterus (for example a myomectomy that entered the uterine cavity).

3. How many cesarean births have you had?

The total number of prior cesarean deliveries.

4. Have you ever given birth vaginally?

A prior vaginal birth — especially a previous successful VBAC — is the strongest thing in favor of another VBAC.

5. Why was your (most recent) cesarean done?

Whether the reason is likely to happen again shapes the odds.

6. How do you expect labor to begin this time?

Going into labor on your own tends to succeed more often than being induced.

7. Anything else that applies? (optional)

Each of these can lower the chance a VBAC succeeds — but none rules it out. Leave everything unticked if none apply.

Why the incision decides so much

The scar on your uterus is the single biggest factor

The direction of your previous surgery matters far more on the outside you can't see — the uterine incision — than the skin scar you can. A low incision sits over the quiet lower part of the uterus and holds up well in labor; a high (classical or vertical) one crosses the muscular, contracting upper part and is much more likely to give way. That's why the type of prior incision is the first thing your provider checks, and it's on your operative note.

Prior uterine incision types and what each generally means for a trial of labor after cesarean
Prior uterine incision Generally means for a VBAC
Low transverse The usual incision. A trial of labor is generally an option — most VBAC candidates have this.
Low vertical Not a contraindication on its own; a trial of labor may still be reasonable — an individualized discussion.
Unknown type Not a contraindication unless a classical incision is strongly suspected. Usually still a candidate.
Classical / high-vertical / T- or J-shaped VBAC generally not recommended — the rupture risk is too high; a planned repeat cesarean is advised.

A prior uterine rupture, or prior surgery that cut through the full thickness of the upper uterus, is treated the same way as a classical incision: a trial of labor is generally not recommended.

How to read your result

Three honest candidacy bands — not a score

Rather than a false-precision percentage, this gives one of three plain-English reads, weighing the factors ACOG names. All three lead to the same next step: a conversation with your obstetric provider.

Good candidate

The favorable factors outweigh the cautions. A trial of labor (TOLAC) is reasonable to discuss.

Individualized

Favorable and less-favorable factors are mixed. Reasonable either way — weigh it with your provider.

Not recommended

A hard factor (e.g., a classical incision or prior rupture) makes a repeat cesarean the safer plan.

Planning around an induction instead? Cervical readiness has its own measure — see the Bishop score calculator. For dating and planning, the due-date calculator and pregnancy checklist help you get ready either way.

What moves the odds

The factors ACOG weighs — for and against

None of these are pass/fail on their own; they add up to a picture. A previous vaginal birth carries the most weight of all.

Raise the chance of success

  • A previous vaginal birth — especially a prior successful VBAC, the strongest predictor.
  • A prior cesarean done for a one-off reason (breech, previa, the baby's heart rate).
  • Going into labor on your own, rather than needing an induction.
  • A single prior low-transverse incision.

Lower it or call for caution

  • Two or more prior cesareans (still possible, more individualized).
  • A prior cesarean for labor that stalled (a recurring indication).
  • Needing an induction, a higher BMI, age 35+, a short gap since the last birth, or going post-dates.
  • Hard stop: a classical/high-vertical/T- or J-shaped incision, a prior rupture, or transfundal surgery — VBAC generally not recommended.

The honest trade-off

A trial of labor is usually safe — but it isn't risk-free

Uterine rupture is the key risk

For one prior low-transverse incision, ACOG puts the risk of the scar giving way at well under 1% (about 0.5–0.9%). Uncommon — but a genuine emergency when it happens.

Where it happens matters

Because a rupture is sudden, a TOLAC should take place in a facility able to do an emergency cesarean quickly. It's a core part of the recommendation, not a detail.

Repeat cesarean has its own risks

A planned repeat cesarean avoids labor's rupture risk but carries surgical risks that also grow with each cesarean — especially placenta problems in future pregnancies.

It's a shared decision

For most appropriate candidates neither path is clearly 'safer' — they trade one set of risks for another. What fits your body, history, and wishes is decided with your provider.

Want a personal chance-of-success estimate? That comes from the validated MFMU (NICHD) VBAC calculator — whose 2021 revision removed race and ethnicity — used with your clinician, who has your full details. This page deliberately doesn't guess that number.

Sources

Where this comes from

The favorable and less-favorable factors, the hard contraindications, and the uterine-rupture figure reproduce ACOG's guidance on vaginal birth after cesarean — its patient FAQ and Practice Bulletin 205. We deliberately do not reproduce the MFMU/NICHD logistic-regression model or output a precise success percentage: an individualized number comes from that validated calculator (2021 race-free revision) used with your clinician. What we do is present the published qualitative factors and give an honest candidacy read, with every hard contraindication surfaced as "generally not recommended."

Medically Reviewed & Fact-Checked · Updated

Reviewed by EasySTD Editorial Team

Compiled and checked by EasySTD's editorial team against CDC and public-health sources. This is educational information, not a substitute for advice from a licensed clinician. Our editorial guidelines →

3 Sources

Data & references

EasySTD is an information and comparison directory, not a healthcare provider. This tool is general information based on published ACOG guidance: it is not medical advice, a diagnosis, a decision about how to give birth, or a chance-of-success estimate, and it does not create a doctor-patient relationship. Whether to attempt a VBAC or plan a repeat cesarean is a decision to make with a licensed obstetric provider.

Good to Know

Vaginal birth after cesarean: frequently asked questions

What a VBAC and a TOLAC are, who's a good candidate, when it isn't recommended, the uterine-rupture risk, why we don't print a percentage, and how private this is.

What's the difference between a VBAC and a TOLAC?

A TOLAC — a trial of labor after cesarean — is the attempt: planning to labor and aim for a vaginal birth after a previous cesarean. A VBAC — vaginal birth after cesarean — is the outcome, when that trial of labor succeeds and you give birth vaginally. So everyone who has a VBAC first had a TOLAC, but a TOLAC can also end in a repeat cesarean if labor doesn't go as hoped, and that's a normal, planned-for possibility rather than a failure. This tool reads how good a candidate you may be for a planned TOLAC; whether to attempt one is a decision you make with your obstetric provider.

Who is generally a good candidate for a VBAC?

According to ACOG, most people with one prior low-transverse cesarean are candidates for a trial of labor and should be counseled about it. The factors that most raise the chance of success are a previous vaginal birth — above all a previous successful VBAC — and a prior cesarean done for a reason unlikely to repeat, such as a breech baby or placenta previa. Going into labor on your own also helps. Two prior cesareans, a prior cesarean for labor that stalled, needing an induction, a higher BMI, older age, and a short gap since the last birth each nudge the odds down without ruling a VBAC out. Overall, roughly 60 to 80 percent of appropriately selected people with one prior cesarean who attempt a TOLAC give birth vaginally — that's a general figure, not your personal number.

When is a VBAC not recommended?

A trial of labor is generally advised against — and a planned repeat cesarean recommended instead — when the risk of the uterine scar giving way in labor is too high. ACOG lists a prior classical or high-vertical (or T- or J-shaped) uterine incision, a previous uterine rupture, and prior surgery that cut through the full thickness of the upper uterus (such as some myomectomies) as situations where a VBAC is not recommended. An unknown incision type is not itself a contraindication unless a classical incision is strongly suspected. If any of those hard factors apply, this tool always tells you so — and points you toward a conversation about a planned repeat cesarean.

How risky is a VBAC — what about uterine rupture?

The main serious risk of a trial of labor is uterine rupture, where the previous scar gives way. For someone with one prior low-transverse cesarean, ACOG puts that risk at well under 1 percent — roughly 0.5 to 0.9 percent. It's uncommon, but it is a genuine emergency for both parent and baby, which is why a TOLAC should take place in a facility able to perform an emergency cesarean quickly if it's needed. For most appropriate candidates the overall risk of a planned VBAC is comparable to a planned repeat cesarean, with a different mix of risks and benefits on each side. This is exactly the trade-off to weigh with your provider — not something a tool can settle for you.

Can this give me my personal chance of a successful VBAC?

No — and it deliberately doesn't try to. A personal percentage comes from a validated statistical model, the MFMU (NICHD) VBAC calculator, which your clinician uses with your full details; its 2021 revision removed race and ethnicity from the estimate. This tool doesn't reproduce that model or invent a number. Instead it gives an honest, qualitative read — a good candidate, an individualized decision, or generally not recommended — based on the factors ACOG describes. Use it to understand where you likely stand and to have a faster, better-informed conversation, then ask your provider to run the MFMU calculator with you for a personalized estimate.

Is what I enter private?

Yes. This tool runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are weighed on your own device and are never sent to a server, saved, or shared — close the tab and they're gone. It's general educational information based on published ACOG guidance; it can't examine you, run your personal numbers, or replace a conversation with your obstetric provider.

Have a different question? Browse the full pregnancy FAQ library, every question we answer, in one place.